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Categories : collapse
Since Trump’s election to the Oval Office, there has been an unbelievable amount of teeth gnashing going on all over the internet….. HOW could it possibly have come to this..?
To me, the answer is as clear as a bell. People all over the world can sense that everything ‘is turning to shit’, if you pardon my fluent French. The economies of the world are faltering (in real sense, not GDP money throughput), unemployment is high, manipulated to lower figures with creative accounting, the climate is falling apart causing food shortages in Europe, and the Middle East appears as a seething hot bed of war and terrorism.
The problem lies in the fact nobody knows why this is happening, because they have been conned for years by governments everywhere telling them everything is fine, we just have to ‘return to growth’.
Trump convinces enough Americans to vote for him so he can make America great again, because neither he nor his voters have the faintest idea America is actually on the cusp of collapse.
In France, Marine Le Pen wants to make France strong again……. and just like in America, this resonates with the electorate who now look like they may make her the country’s first woman President, and the first from the extreme right.
Here in Australia, we have a similar rise from the right, with Pauline Hanson and her one nation party making scary inroads into popularity rating. A recent article in the Sydney Morning Herald states:
In the aftermath of Mr Trump’s US election victory, where he strongly advocated reviving that nation’s manufacturing industry, nearly 83 per cent of surveyed Australian said they strongly agreed (42 per cent) or agreed (40.5 per cent) with the notion we are too reliant on foreign imports. Only 6 per cent disagreed.
Support for an expansion of Australia’s manufacturing sector was robust regardless of age, gender, income or locality.
This unsurprising finding comes from the Political Persona Project, a comprehensive attempt to profile different types of Australians based on their lifestyles, social values and politics. Fairfax Media in collaboration with the Australian National University and Netherlands-based political research enterprise Kieskompas conducted the project which revealed there are seven types of Australians, representing seven dominant patterns of thinking in Australian society.
Manufacturing has been declining since the 1970’s, which coincides with the USA’s Peak Oil, in case no one noticed….. then, one in four Australian workers were employed in the sector. This downturn has gathered pace in recent years with over 200,000 manufacturing jobs lost between 2008 and 2015. But no mention of dropping net energy, or an energy cliff. The manufacturing sector now accounts for only about one in 13 Australian workers. The decline means Australia is relying more on foreign producers to supply manufactured goods……… not to mention we have to import over 90% of our liquid fuel requirements, with likely no more than 3 or 4 years before this turns to 100%.
Underpinning the nostalgia for manufacturing was a strong feeling of having been left out of the new economy, said Carol Johnson, Professor of Politics and International Studies at the University of Adelaide.
Might this have anything to do with the fact that since the Thatcher/Reagan era, the economy was converted from an energy based one to a money based version…..?
“Manufacturing still matters to the economy and Australians know it,” he said.
“The public’s gut instinct is absolutely right.”
How much more wrong could they actually be……..?
Comments : 2 Comments »
Tags: "energy cliff", "Peak oil", america, australia, europe, extreme right, france, great again, manufacturing, marine le pen, nick xenophon, oil, one nation, pauline hanson, surplus energy, trump, USA
Categories : design
Most of DTM’s readers will know this, but as it’s rather well done and amusing to boot, here it is anyway….. some lighthearted relief.
Comments : 10 Comments »
Tags: "steve keen", brexit, creation, debt, economic shock, europe, government, money, Russia, trump, USA
Categories : economy
In reality solar power’s heavily subsidized growth is nowhere close to being the revolutionary force some of its advocates claim it already is. It is also not growing exponentially, as anyone could see if they checked the meaning of the term exponential growth and actual statistics for year on year growth rates.
Globally, solar grew by 93% in 2011, 60% in 2012, 39% in 2013, and 38% in 2014. Meanwhile, in the countries with the most developed solar sectors, absolute growth has in fact slowed.
Germany added 7.5 and 7.6 GW of new capacity in 2011 and 2012 respectively. In 2013 and 2014 the figures had gone down to 3.3 and 1.9 GW. The same goes for Italy, where new capacity additions went from 9.3 to 0.38 GW between 2011 and 2014.
In fact, the current growth of European solar is not even vaguely exponential. Instead, growth is declining overall. In 2011, 22.4 GW was added throughout Europe; in 2012 17.4 GW was added, in 2013 10.4 GW was added, and in 2014 7.2 GW was added. Absolute growth of solar capacity in Europe is now one third of what it what it was in 2011.
Anyone confidently predicting continued exponential growth of solar will have a hard time accounting for the actual decline in growth in Europe.
Growth of solar can be put in further perspective by comparing the annual growth (in TWh) with the total electricity consumption of a country. Let’s imagine that in a single year a country went from 0 to 1% of electricity generation being from solar panels. That would mean it would take roughly 100 years to get to 100% solar.
Obvious caveat: we don’t know what to do when the sun goes down, but you get the thrust.
So, how quickly is solar growing globally? Below is a chart showing the top 25 countries in terms of solar growth last year. Growth is measured by comparing absolute growth of solar (in TWh) with total electricity generation (in TWh).
Number 1 is Greece. Now, exactly why heavily indebted Greece is number one in the growth of a heavily subsidized source of energy generation can be debated, but the fact remains.
Most importantly, no major economy is above 1%. At current rates of solar additions they are all many many decades away from solar power taking over. And remember: many of these countries, e.g. Germany, are now seeing reduced rates of absolute solar additions.
Growth in solar energy in China now attracts a lot of optimistic headlines. However, the increase in solar energy last year represented only 0.2% of total electricity generation. In other words, if China kept increasing solar’s share at that rate it would take half a millennium to get to 100% solar electricity. Keep this in mind when you see misguided headlines about solar power having a major influence on Chinese air pollution.
Focusing on electricity generation alone of course is problematic. The underlying reason to switch to solar power is climate change. And the majority of fossil fuels are not used for generating electricity, but for heating, flying, shipping, making steel, and so on. What we really should look at is total energy consumption.
The growth of solar is much slower in terms of total primary energy consumption. Growth in solar in 2015 was less than 0.5% of total primary energy consumption in all major economies.
These numbers should make it clear how far we are away from a solar revolution. The figure for China and the US is 0.1%. If China and the US added solar at a rate ten times greater than they are today, then, it would take them a century to get to 100% solar.
In Germany, where a supposed solar revolution has occurred, the figure was 0.29%. 100% solar is a mere three centuries away in that high latitude, cloudy country……. where the sun still goes down.
Comments : 3 Comments »
Tags: China, data, debt, declining, europe, greece, growth, italy, japan, revolution, robert wilson, solar, USA
Categories : energy, solar
I heard this film mentioned by Derrick Jensen at the end of that podcast I mentioned in Why we are still screwed….. Thorium or no Thorium!
It’s a bit long at one hour forty minutes – why is it doco producers seem to think their films can’t be as good if they’re edited shorter? Anyhow, I still think it’s compulsory viewing…. especially for Australians who can have the advantage of seeing where Canada’s Harper government took its people. Remember, we are just a couple of years behind, and Abbott could easily be Harper’s clone.
Comments : 14 Comments »
Tags: "chris hedges", "debt bomb", "Derrick Jensen", "economic collapse", austerity, bailout, banks, canada, capitalism, collapse, corporations, crisis, debt, G20, globalization, growth, left, pensions, poverty, protest, riots, USA, wall street
Categories : collapse, philosophy, politics
Comments : 4 Comments »
Tags: "dmitry orlov", collapse, Crimea, Russia, ukraine, USA
Categories : collapse
A huge thank you to Michael Lardelli for pointing me to this hour long presentation by Steven Kopits, Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood, for The Center on Global Energy Policy. It was recorded February 11, 2014 and is therefore right up to date, for the time being. It’s not short, obviously, includes bucketloads of data and information which I think will require me to view it twice…… so some commitment to ‘the cause’ is required! But anyone wondering about the cause for Shell’s rout in Australia will be amazed to hear at about 45 minutes that this company actually borrowed money to pay its share dividends…….
Is the oil industry in the poo…? ABSOLUTELY. There are several red flags going up in this…. not least China’s apparent decision to slow its involvement in the oil markets. Maybe it can’t afford to buy more resources at the price it takes to purchase them?
If ever you needed proof that it’s MONEY that lubricates the economy, even the very oil industry itself (the irony is overwhelming…) then watch this… It is perhaps THE most important video you’ll watch about Peak Oil until the whole shebang falls over in a heap…. it blew MY socks off.
Comments : 5 Comments »
Tags: "Peak Car Use", "Peak oil", "Steven Kopits", "supply side", CAFE, capex, China, constraint, consumption, cost, economy, europe, markets, production, revenue, supply demand, USA
Categories : peak oil